Antifragile

為什么這個(gè)世界上最穩(wěn)定的國家其實(shí)沒有政府？

為什么負(fù)債對(duì)你不好，以及為什么我們通常所說的“效率”根本缺乏就是效率？

為什么政府和社會(huì)政策保護(hù)強(qiáng)者，卻傷害弱者？

為什么你應(yīng)該在還沒入職之前，就應(yīng)該寫好辭職信？

泰坦尼克號(hào)的沉沒為什么拯救了更多的生命？

尼采有句名言：“殺不死我的，使我更強(qiáng)大?！本拖袢说墓穷^承受壓力和緊張會(huì)變得更加強(qiáng)壯，謠言或暴亂在有人試圖壓制它們時(shí)會(huì)變本加厲一樣，生命中的許多事物也會(huì)受益于壓力、混亂、波動(dòng)和不確定。

暢銷書《黑天鵝》告訴我們，發(fā)生概率極低的事件和無法預(yù)測(cè)的“黑天鵝”事件，在世界上幾乎每一種事物的身上都會(huì)發(fā)生。在《反脆弱》一書中，塔勒布告訴我們?cè)诓淮_定的世界中的生存法則，他找到并定義了“反脆弱”類事物：每一個(gè)事物都會(huì)從波動(dòng)中得到利益或蒙受損失，脆弱性是指因?yàn)椴▌?dòng)和不確定而承受損失，反脆弱性則是指讓自己避免這些損失，甚至從混亂和不確定中獲利。

反脆弱類事物不只受益于混沌，也需要適時(shí)出現(xiàn)的壓力與危機(jī)，如此才能維持生存與實(shí)現(xiàn)繁榮。作者還認(rèn)為，不確定性是件好事，甚至有其存在的必要，并且建議我們培養(yǎng)反脆弱性的特質(zhì)。反脆弱性超越強(qiáng)韌性或堅(jiān)固性：強(qiáng)韌性只能夠抵抗震動(dòng)和維持原狀；反脆弱性則會(huì)讓事物變得越來越好。此外，反脆弱性還可以避免預(yù)測(cè)誤差，并且保護(hù)事物不受負(fù)面“黑天鵝”事件的影響。

這本書大談試錯(cuò)法、人生的大小決定、政治、自治市、戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)、個(gè)人理財(cái)、經(jīng)濟(jì)體系和醫(yī)療系統(tǒng)……風(fēng)格獨(dú)樹一幟?！斗创嗳酢沸允俏覀兩钤诓淮_定世界中的“導(dǎo)航儀”，也是面對(duì)隨時(shí)可能出現(xiàn)的“黑天鵝”事件的終極自保指南。

From the best-selling author of?The Black Swan?and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how some things actually benefit from disorder.?

In?The Black Swan?Taleb outlined a problem, and in?Antifragile?he offers a definitive solution: how to gain from disorder and chaos while being protected from fragilities and adverse events. For what Taleb calls the “antifragile” is actually beyond the robust, because it benefits from shocks, uncertainty, and stressors, just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension. The antifragile needs disorder in order to survive and flourish.?

Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is immune to prediction errors. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is everything that is both modern and complicated bound to fail? The audiobook spans innovation by trial and error, health, biology, medicine, life decisions, politics, foreign policy, urban planning, war, personal finance, and economic systems. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are heard loud and clear.?

Extremely ambitious and multidisciplinary,?Antifragile?provides a blueprint for how to behave – and thrive – in a world we don’t understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to understand and predict. Erudite and witty, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: What is not antifragile will surely perish.